Time for another poll dump! This one courtesy of TIME/CNN/Opinion Research.
Nevada:
Despite trailing in Nevada’s two most populous counties, Angle boasts a 15-point lead over Reid among independents and sizable margins among males, white voters and voters over 50, giving her a 49%-45% cushion overall.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Angle by 1.8 points.
Kentucky:
In Kentucky, Republican Senate nominee Rand Paul is following a similar formula, riding a wave of support from independents to a 50%-43% lead over Democrat Jack Conway, the state’s attorney general, the poll found. Independents back Paul by a 63%-26% margin in the Bluegrass State, where President Obama’s approval rating sits at 36%. The Bowling Green ophthalmologist, a Tea Party favorite who has endured a rocky general-election campaign, also has support among male Kentuckians and voters over 35.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Paul by 8.0 points.
Pennsylvania:
In the battle for the Senate seat being vacated by Arlen Specter, Republican Pat Toomey leads Democratic Representative Joe Sestak 49%-45%, thanks to a 13-point lead among independent voters.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Toomey by 3.2 points.
Colorado:
In Colorado, Republican Senate nominee Ken Buck is clinging to a narrow advantage over Senator Michael Bennet, who was appointed to the post in 2009. Buck, who leads overall 47%-46%, has benefited from a 49%-36% cushion among independents and from his ability to tether Bennet to Obama, whose approval rating in Colorado is 42% overall and just 30% among independents.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Buck by 1.0 points.
California:
As they scramble to stave off a Republican bid for the upper chamber, Democrats may have to rely on California as their ultimate firewall. Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer holds a 50%-45% lead over Republican challenger Carly Fiorina.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Boxer by 6.4 points.
(credit image – ellidavis)