Time for another poll dump! This one courtesy of TIME/CNN/Opinion Research.
Despite trailing in Nevada’s two most populous counties, Angle boasts a 15-point lead over Reid among independents and sizable margins among males, white voters and voters over 50, giving her a 49%-45% cushion overall.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Angle by 1.8 points.
In Kentucky, Republican Senate nominee Rand Paul is following a similar formula, riding a wave of support from independents to a 50%-43% lead over Democrat Jack Conway, the state’s attorney general, the poll found. Independents back Paul by a 63%-26% margin in the Bluegrass State, where President Obama’s approval rating sits at 36%. The Bowling Green ophthalmologist, a Tea Party favorite who has endured a rocky general-election campaign, also has support among male Kentuckians and voters over 35.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Paul by 8.0 points.
In the battle for the Senate seat being vacated by Arlen Specter, Republican Pat Toomey leads Democratic Representative Joe Sestak 49%-45%, thanks to a 13-point lead among independent voters.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Toomey by 3.2 points.
In Colorado, Republican Senate nominee Ken Buck is clinging to a narrow advantage over Senator Michael Bennet, who was appointed to the post in 2009. Buck, who leads overall 47%-46%, has benefited from a 49%-36% cushion among independents and from his ability to tether Bennet to Obama, whose approval rating in Colorado is 42% overall and just 30% among independents.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Buck by 1.0 points.
As they scramble to stave off a Republican bid for the upper chamber, Democrats may have to rely on California as their ultimate firewall. Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer holds a 50%-45% lead over Republican challenger Carly Fiorina.
The Real Clear Politics average for this race currently favors Boxer by 6.4 points.
(credit image – ellidavis)