The Virginia Senate race “is about as much of a toss up as it could be: Tim Kaine and George Allen tie at 47% in our first poll since Jim Webb announced his retirement,” Public Policy Polling reports.
Kaine is slightly more popular than Allen, sporting a 46/38 favorability spread to Allen’s 39/40. Both benefit from a pretty unified party base, with 87% of Republicans going toward Allen and 86% of Democrats to Kaine. Allen is able to earn the tie despite the fact that there are likely to be more Democratic than Republican voters in a Presidential year electorate because independents lean toward him by a 50/41 margin.
Other scenarios:
Allen leads the other two Democrats we tested against him, a pair of Congressmen defeated in last year’s election. It’s 48-41 over Tom Perriello and 47-42 over Rick Boucher.
Congress in Your Pocket
